• 3 July 2026
  • Market: Crude

The US and Iran have signed a memorandum of understanding, beginning a 60-day process to negotiate a broader agreement and reduce regional tensions.

Iran has pledged to restore Strait of Hormuz vessel traffic to pre-war levels, easing concerns over disruptions to global oil flows.

Oil prices have fallen as markets anticipate the return of stranded Gulf and Iranian crude supplies and a lower geopolitical risk premium.

Despite the agreement, shipping activity remains cautious due to mixed political signals and ongoing operational challenges.

Key questions remain around the pace of supply recovery, future market balances, and what could trigger a renewed rise in oil prices.

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