Oil products Argus Media

ARGUS Base Oils Outlook

Stay ahead of the curve with the Argus Base Oils Outlook report — a monthly publication that forecasts key, global base oils prices 12-months into the future.

The forecast is updated and published monthly to ensure a highly accurate short-term forecast, supported by a forward-looking market commentary, outlining key price drivers and market fundamentals.


Markets covered

  • US:
    • Group I domestic and export: SN 150, SN 500, bright stock
    • Group II domestic and export: N100, N220, N600
    • Group III domestic: 4cst
  • Europe:
    • Group I domestic and export: SN 150, SN 500, bright stock
    • Group II domestic: N150, N600
    • Group III domestic: 4cst
  • Asia:
    • Group I export: SN 150, SN 500, bright stock
    • Group II export: N70, N150, N500
    • Group III domestic: 4cst

 

Base oil producers, traders, lubricant blenders and additive companies use the report:

  • To assess and facilitate future buying and selling opportunities up to 12-months out
  • To assess and facilitate short-term arbitrage opportunities up to 12-months out
  • As a benchmark for internal transfer prices or in forward contracts
  • As an input for production optimisation models
  • As an input for profit maximisation models
  • As a neutral, third-party reference against internal price forecasts
  • To better understand the price impact from upcoming changes in market fundamentals

Key features

  • Major Group I, II and III base oil price forecasts from the US, Europe and Asia-Pacific
  • Full outlook price table
  • Regional price forecast analysis and commentary, including an analytical framework and price trend analysis with reference to seasonality patterns and fundamentals
  • Intra-grade spreads
  • Intra-group spreads
  • Gasoil/diesel spreads

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