Latest market news

US producer price gains slow but up on the month

  • Market: Chemicals, Coal, Crude oil, LPG, Metals, Natural gas, Oil products
  • 12/10/22

US producer price gains slowed in September from a year earlier, but posted a greater-than-expected monthly gain on higher service costs.

The producer price index (PPI), which tracks the prices producers receive for goods, services and construction, rose by 8.5pc in September, slowing from an 8.7pc annual gain in the 12 months through August, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported. It peaked at 11.7pc in March.

The PPI rose by a seasonally adjusted 0.4pc in September from the prior month, after monthly declines of 0.2pc in August and 0.4pc in July. The PPI peaked at a monthly 1.7pc gain in March.

Two-thirds of the latest monthly gain was due to gains in service costs, much of them gains in traveler accommodation services.

The PPI energy index rose by 0.7pc on the month after falling by 5.6pc in August. The energy index was up 24.2pc on the year. The food index was up 1.2pc on the month, surging from a 0.1pc decline the prior month.

The Federal Reserve is engaged in its steepest course of rate hikes since the 1980's as it tries to bring down inflation from four-decade highs brought on by the war in Ukraine, snarled supply chains and surging demand after Covid-19 shutdowns. Still, the latest move by Opec+ countries to cut crude output quotas by 2mn b/d means higher energy inflation pressures are in the pipeline. US gasoline prices have been rising at the pump for three weeks.

The index for final demand less food, energy and trade services — considered core PPI — advanced by 5.6pc on the year for a second month, slowing from prior months after peaking at 7.1pc in March. Still, on a monthly basis, it rose by 0.4pc in September following a 0.2pc gain the prior month and the largest monthly gain since 0.5pc in May.

The PPI report comes out a day before tomorrow's consumer price index (CPI) report — a measurement of what consumers pay for a basket of different goods and finished products — which is forecast to come in at about 8pc after a 8.3pc gain in August. PPI inflation often shows up in CPI numbers, as businesses generally pass on their costs to consumers.


Sharelinkedin-sharetwitter-sharefacebook-shareemail-share

Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

News
10/12/24

Norway to end new international fossil fuel financing

Norway to end new international fossil fuel financing

London, 10 December (Argus) — Norway will from January no longer provide public finance for new unabated international fossil fuel projects, in line with a commitment it made in December last year. Norway's export credit agency, Eksfin, provides most of the country's financing for overseas fossil fuel projects. Eksfin provided between 8.78bn Norwegian kroner and 10.98bn NKr ($786mn- 983mn) over July 2021-June 2023 for fossil fuel projects, civil society organisation Oil Change International found. Norway signed the Clean Energy Transition Partnership (CETP) at the UN Cop 28 climate summit in 2023. The CETP aims to shift international public finance "from the unabated fossil fuel energy sector to the clean energy transition". The CETP, which now has 41 signatories, was launched at Cop 26 in 2021, with an initial 39 signatories including most G7 nations and several development banks. Signatories commit to ending new direct public support for overseas unabated fossil fuel projects within a year of joining. Abatement, under the CETP, refers to "a high level of emissions reductions" through operational carbon capture technology or "other effective technologies". It does not count offsets or credits. Australia, which also signed the CETP at Cop 28, said last week that it would no longer finance overseas fossil fuel projects. "Norway is also working to introduce common regulations for financing fossil energy within the international main agreement for state export financing in the OECD", the Norwegian government said today. Norway's policy "helps increase momentum" for an OECD deal that could end $41bn/yr in oil and gas export financing, Oil Change said. Countries are involved in "final negotiations" on the deal today, Oil Change added. By Georgia Gratton Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Find out more
News

Opec+ crude output rises in November


10/12/24
News
10/12/24

Opec+ crude output rises in November

London, 10 December (Argus) — Opec+ members subject to targets increased their collective crude output by 150,000 b/d in November, marking the alliance's first monthly production rise since March, Argus estimates. Although output increased to 33.55mn b/d last month, it was still 3.97mn b/d below the level the group was producing at when it announced the first of its current round of cuts in October 2022. It was also 300,000 b/d below the group's collective production target for the month. November's increase was mainly driven by Kazakhstan, where output was boosted by the restart of the 400,000 b/d Kashagan project following maintenance in October. Kazakh production rose by 220,000 b/d to 1.56mn b/d last month, leaving the country 90,000 b/d above its official production target. Kazakhstan has been one of the group's biggest overproducers this year, alongside Iraq and Russia. It has repeatedly pledged to compensate for exceeding its targets but has so far largely failed to deliver. Iraq — the group's largest overproducer — has made progress in recent months in reducing its production. Its output in November was again 20,000 b/d below its target at 3.98mn b/d, the same as in October. But it will need further reductions if it is to fully compensate for past overproduction. Compliance with output targets is a key measure of group discipline and crucial to the success of Opec+ production policy. Argus calculates that eight members of the coalition have produced above their targets on average between January and October of this year. Opec+ producers agreed earlier this month to push back a plan to start unwinding 2.2mn b/d of voluntary cuts by three months to April 2025 and agreed to return the full amount over 18 months rather than a year. Last month's production increase by the entire group — including quota-exempt Iran, Libya and Venezuela — was 350,000 b/d, with total output at 39.03mn b/d. This was mainly driven by Libya, which increased its output by 160,000 b/d to 1.24mn b/d as it continued to ramp up after emerging from a partial oil blockade in early October. Iran's output rebounded by 60,000 b/d to 3.36mn b/d. By Aydin Calik Opec+ crude production mn b/d Nov Oct* Nov target† ± target Opec 9 21.12 21.18 21.23 -0.11 Non-Opec 9 12.43 12.22 12.62 -0.19 Total 33.55 33.40 33.85 -0.30 *revised †includes additional cuts where applicable Opec wellhead production mn b/d Nov Oct* Nov target† ± target Saudi Arabia 8.93 8.95 8.98 -0.05 Iraq 3.98 3.98 4.00 -0.02 Kuwait 2.40 2.43 2.41 -0.01 UAE 2.97 2.93 2.91 0.06 Algeria 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.00 Nigeria 1.40 1.42 1.50 -0.10 Congo (Brazzaville) 0.25 0.27 0.28 -0.03 Gabon 0.22 0.23 0.17 0.05 Equatorial Guinea 0.06 0.06 0.07 -0.01 Opec 9 21.12 21.18 21.23 -0.11 Iran 3.36 3.30 na na Libya 1.24 1.08 na na Venezuela 0.88 0.90 na na Total Opec 12^ 26.60 26.46 na na *revised †includes additional cuts where applicable ^Iran, Libya and Venezuela are exempt from production targets Non-Opec crude production mn b/d Nov Oct* Nov target† ± target Russia 8.97 8.97 8.98 -0.01 Oman 0.76 0.76 0.76 0.00 Azerbaijan 0.48 0.48 0.55 -0.07 Kazakhstan 1.56 1.34 1.47 0.09 Malaysia 0.33 0.33 0.40 -0.07 Bahrain 0.17 0.18 0.20 -0.03 Brunei 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.00 Sudan 0.02 0.02 0.06 -0.04 South Sudan 0.06 0.06 0.12 -0.06 Total non-Opec 12.43 12.22 12.62 -0.19 *revised †includes additional cuts where applicable Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Assad’s ouster removes key outlet for Iran’s crude


10/12/24
News
10/12/24

Assad’s ouster removes key outlet for Iran’s crude

Dubai, 10 December (Argus) — The removal of Syrian president Bashar al-Assad from power over the weekend has not only dealt a major blow to Iran and its designs for the Levant region, but it has also eliminated a critically important outlet for Tehran's sanctions-hit oil. Long considered Iran's top Arab ally, Assad enjoyed significant military and economic support from Tehran over the past decade, as Iran saw him as the focal point for its regional influence. Syria also provided the main supply routes to Lebanon's Hezbollah militia, the crown jewel in Iran's so-called ‘Axis of Resistance'. Part of Iran's assistance was in the form of shipments of crude and refined oil products to help Assad's regime meet fuel demand in the areas under its control. Once a 600,000 b/d-plus producer, Syria's crude output has been on the decline over the past three decades. Just before the start of the civil war in 2011, production had already slipped below 400,000 b/d. Today, it is less than 100,000 b/d, and only around 16,000 b/d of that comes from fields in areas under the former government's control. This left Assad's regime — itself restricted by western sanctions — critically short of crude to feed its two refineries in Banias and Homs, even though both have been operating below capacity because of damage sustained during the civil war. Iran helped plug the gap by sending crude and products to the 140,000 b/d Banias refinery on Syria's Mediterranean coast on an ad hoc basis. Iranian crude exports to Syria averaged around 55,000 b/d in January-November this year, down from 80,000 b/d in 2023 and 72,000 b/d in 2022, according to data from trade analytics firm Kpler. Vortexa puts shipments higher at 60,000-70,000 b/d so far this year and 90,000 b/d in 2023. Iran has also been sending around 10,000-20,000 b/d of refined products to Syria in recent years, according to consultancy FGE. Wait and see Iran's oil exports to Syria have mostly been in the form of grants to support the Assad regime. The government's collapse could put an end to these flows for the time being, while Tehran takes a wait-and-see approach to what comes next in Syria. The first sign of that came over the weekend when the Iran-flagged Lotus , which left Kharg Island on 11 November destined for Banias, reversed course just as it was about to enter the Suez Canal. The tanker is now headed back through the Red Sea without specifying a destination. Although supplies to Syria make up a very small share of Iran's overall 1.6mn-1.8mn b/d of crude exports, Tehran may not want to lose it as an outlet for good, given the difficulties of finding a replacement while sanctions remain in place. "The flow will stop, at least for the time being," said Iman Nasseri, managing director for the Middle East at FGE. "But Iran will want to continue supplying this oil to Syria, or else it may be forced to cut production by anywhere between 50,000-100,000 b/d if it is unable to ultimately place those barrels in China." Argus estimates Iran produced around 3.33mn b/d in September-November. Alternatively, Iran could opt to build the volumes it holds offshore in floating storage. "We usually see the same tankers shuttling between Iran and Syria," according to Vortexa's senior oil analyst Armen Azizian. "If that trade subsides, we could see some of these tankers unemployed or put into floating storage, which would rise, at least in the short-term," he said. Lotus is one of these tankers, having made the trip to Syria and back five times in 2023, and twice so far in 2024. The crude cargo it is carrying now "could be returned to Iran and put into onshore tanks or go into floating storage off Iran," Azizian said. By Nader Itayim Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

ExxonMobil to accelerate PNG’s P'nyang gas development


10/12/24
News
10/12/24

ExxonMobil to accelerate PNG’s P'nyang gas development

Sydney, 10 December (Argus) — ExxonMobil plans to expedite the next stage of its 4.4 trillion ft³ (125bn m³) P'nyang gas field in Papua New Guinea (PNG), which is considered critical to the future of the nation's two major LNG projects. Exxon, the operator of the 6.9mn t/yr PNG LNG joint venture, will bring pre-engineering works forward to April-June 2025 by accelerating the concept select phase that is presently underway. This would bring it forward "years sooner than previously envisaged," said ExxonMobil PNG's senior vice-president of commercial development, Johanna Boothey, at the PNG Resources and Energy Investment Conference in Sydney, Australia on 10 December "We expect to undertake initial ground surveys and to establish a project office in Western Province in the coming weeks," she added. PNG's government in March signed a fiscal stability agreement for the P'nyang project with PNG LNG partners. A final investment decision (FID) for the P'nyang field is targeted for 2029, following the start-up of the planned 5.6mn t/yr Papua LNG export terminal, with synchronisation between the two projects seen as guiding the investment timeline. But further delays to the Papua LNG project could cause feedstock shortages at PNG LNG, as the former project is expected to provide 2mn t/yr worth of gas to the latter. Continuing concerns about Papua LNG's FID slipping further may prompt Exxon to further advance P'nyang's development timeline. ExxonMobil holds 49pc of P'nyang, Australian independent Santos controls 38.5pc while Japanese upstream firm JX Nippon has a 12.5pc stake. By Tom Major Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

German heating oil demand surges before CO2 tax hike


09/12/24
News
09/12/24

German heating oil demand surges before CO2 tax hike

Hamburg, 9 December (Argus) — Consumers in Germany stocked up on heating oil during the past week in preparation for the CO2 tax hike in 2025, taking advantage of the recent drop in prices. Traded volumes of heating oil, as reported to Argus, rose by almost half last week on the week. Consumers seized the opportunity of low prices — which had fallen by about €4.50/100l since 22 November — to build up their heating oil inventories again, despite storage levels still being unusually high. Privately-owned heating oil tanks were maintained at an average filling level of 60.6pc on 5 December, two percentage points up from 2023, as shown by data from Argus MDX. The continued stocking up on heating oil is largely because of the anticipated price increase from 1 January. Germany's CO2 tax will increase from €45/tCO2eq in 2024 to €55/tCO2eq in 2025. This would result in a price increase of about €2.70/100l for heating oil, according to Argus calculations. But traders are reporting premiums in the range of €3/100l to €4/100l for heating oil in January. Diesel prices could increase by about €3.50/100l in January, Ar gus calculations show. In addition to the CO2 tax increase, the greenhouse gas (GHG) quota, which will rise from 9.35pc to 10.6pc next year, will also impact diesel prices. Diesel for delivery in January is currently trading at between €4/100l and €7.50/100l higher than for December delivery, traders said. As a result, traders anticipate that diesel demand will also increase before the year ends, but it remains low so far. The fill level of industrial diesel tanks has started to recover after hitting a four-year low at the beginning of November. The level was about 53.6pc on 5 December, less than one percentage point below the same time last year. By Natalie Müller Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Generic Hero Banner

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more