Argus Methanol Outlook

The Argus Methanol Outlook covers global methanol markets across four key regions:

• Americas — US Gulf Coast spot and contract prices, North America supply and production costs. 
• Western Europe — quarterly/monthly benchmark and spot T-2 pricing, plus European supply dynamics. 
• Asia-Pacific, China — domestic spot prices, MTO affordability and coastal inventory analysis. 
• Asia-Pacific, Southeast Asia and India — spot prices, regional supply outages and import dynamics. 

The Argus Methanol Outlook is a monthly forecast service delivering a 24-month rolling methanol price forecast and forward-looking analysis of global supply, demand and trade flows. Each issue includes a what's changed summary, regional commentaries, feedstock economics and production cost data. An annual five-year price forecast is also included.

Each monthly issue revises the rolling 24-month forecast based on the following:

• Changes to crude oil and natural gas price assumptions. 
• Supply disruptions, capacity additions and turnaround schedule updates. 
• Shifts in regional demand, including MTO operating rates in China. 
• Global trade flow developments and inventory movements.

 

A what's changed summary identifies the key drivers behind forecast revisions versus the prior month.

The service is delivered as a PDF to your inbox each month. Subscribers also access the underlying Excel data file and interactive dashboards through the Argus Direct platform, which provides price trend charts, regional analysis tools and specialist publications.

Each monthly report includes the following by region:

• Americas — supply schedule, production losses, price driver analysis and cost data. 
• Western Europe — production schedule, import flows and price forecast. 
• Asia-Pacific, China — domestic supply and demand, MTO affordability and inventory. 
• Asia-Pacific, Southeast Asia and India — production outages, import flows and spot prices. 

Major developments — such as geopolitical events, supply disruptions, capacity startups or energy price shifts — are evaluated and incorporated into each monthly issue. The what's changed summary identifies the specific developments that have driven revisions to price forecasts versus the prior month.

The Argus Methanol Outlook is produced by a dedicated global team of methanol specialists with decades of combined experience in the petrochemical and methanol industries. The team covers the Americas, Europe and Asia-Pacific and is accessible to subscribers for direct discussion of market dynamics and forecast methodology.