Overview

The ammonia market is undergoing a period of rapid and dramatic change. Conventional or ‘grey’ ammonia is traditionally produced almost exclusively for its nitrogen content. However, the urgent need to decarbonise the global economy and meet ambitious zero-carbon goals has opened up exciting new opportunities.

Ammonia has the potential to be the most cost-effective and practical ‘zero-carbon’ energy carrier in the form of hydrogen to the energy and fuels sectors. This has led to rapid growth of interest in clean ammonia and a flurry of new ‘green’ and ‘blue’ ammonia projects.

Argus has many decades of experience covering the ammonia market.  We incorporate our multi-commodity market expertise in energy, marine fuels, the transition to net zero and hydrogen to provide existing market participants and new entrants with the full market narrative.

Our industry-leading price assessments, powerful data, vital analysis and robust outlooks will support you through:

  • Ammonia price assessments (daily and weekly), some of which are basis for Argus ammonia futures contracts, Ammonia forward curve data and clean ammonia cost assessments and modelled weekly prices
  • Short and medium to long-term forecasting, modelling and analysis of conventional and clean ammonia prices, supply, demand, trade and projects
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Latest ammonia news
13/10/26

UK’s EnergyPathways eyes offshore energy storage hub

UK’s EnergyPathways eyes offshore energy storage hub

London, 13 October (Argus) — UK-listed developer EnergyPathways is planning the Marram Energy Storage Hub (Mesh) in the eastern Irish Sea, a project designated by the UK government as nationally significant. Mesh comprises a 300MW compressed air energy storage (CAES) system across four salt caverns and natural gas storage in a further eight caverns. EnergyPathways also wants to produce gas from the undeveloped Marram field and then to later use the field for storage. Eventually, the firm plans to repurpose the gas storage caverns for hydrogen. It is also considering a methane pyrolysis plant in Barrow-in-Furness to produce 20,000 t/yr of hydrogen and 60,000 t/yr of graphite, while evaluating conversion of the hydrogen into up to 110,000 t/yr of ammonia. Argus spoke with chief executive Ben Clube about technology, phasing and policy. Edited highlights follow: What problem is Mesh trying to solve? The UK grid is moving from base-load gas power to mostly renewables. The immediate challenge is intermittency, which in the UK means wind rather than solar. Most surpluses arise in events lasting more than 24 hours. This needs long-duration energy storage (LDES), which the government sees as critical. LDES projects shortlisted so far run for up to 30 hours and 17 on average. Relying on batteries is flawed, as UK batteries average 1.4 hours and stacking is prohibitively expensive. How does your CAES system work and compete with gas-fired power? We will store surplus renewable power as compressed air in salt caverns and discharge it through turbines when renewables fall short. The 55GWh system has 190 hours of duration, covering wind lulls of up to seven days. It is diabatic, meaning we heat the air with a fuel at discharge, initially natural gas and ultimately 100pc hydrogen. We aim to reach full power in two minutes from a cold start. As a turbine system, it will deliver synchronous inertia that earns grid stability revenue. The UK relies heavily on gas-fired generation to back up renewables. Gas sets the electricity price about 60-70pc of the time, but supplies less than 30pc of power. When dispatching, we will displace gas and its price-setting role, as we believe our short-run marginal cost will undercut combined-cycle gas turbines (CCGTs). We will store curtailed wind effectively priced at or below zero and burn far less gas, so our emissions trading system (ETS) costs are lower. Our efficiency is also about 60pc, against about 50pc for CCGTs given how variably they run. The entire storage system will be grid-connected. Our connection strategy is being worked through, but we could add flexibility between offshore generators and the grid. With grid costs and green subsidies pushing up industrial power prices, we also see significant opportunities for behind-the-meter supply to industry. Why build offshore and how far could storage grow? The offshore salt sequence lets us build very large caverns of 700,000m³ each, providing economies of scale. We estimate capital costs at about £9,000/MWh of storage, against about £200,000/MWh for batteries and 5-6 times ours for pumped hydro. Our licence area could hold up to 60 caverns and CAES is modular, so we can add units in phases. Some estimates put UK renewable surpluses at up to 70 TWh/yr. Cycling our 55GWh for 10 times a year is only about 500GWh. Where does natural gas storage fit in? Gas is essential for keeping the lights on, but domestic output is falling quickly with the North Sea's decline and policy settings. The UK has little gas storage capacity. By 2030, it could import up to 90pc of its gas in winter peaks, much of it bought just-in-time on the spot market. A government consultation on gas supply security last year was really about developing more. We have offered a large project using the same salt sequence and an undeveloped gas field, which is ideal for storage. It would hold six days of national supply, doubling UK capacity, and we think it is viewed favourably as it costs less than other projects being considered. The stored gas would also be a strategic reserve to drive our power generation beyond the 190 hours from CAES. Why add hydrogen production using methane pyrolysis? The hydrogen would displace natural gas in our power generation and storage, providing a decarbonised strategic reserve. We quickly dismissed renewable electrolytic hydrogen because of UK electricity costs. Cracking methane takes about a sixth of the energy of cracking water. Pyrolysis also yields solid carbon. With the technologies we are evaluating, this is graphite and graphene, which are more valuable and useful to industry than carbon black. Graphite is the major commercial enabler. The government considers graphite a critical mineral, with the UK reliant on imports and China dominating global production and processing. Hydrogen for power and storage would reach the offshore caverns from the port of Barrow plant through existing, hydrogen-compatible pipelines. We think all this will make our low-carbon hydrogen competitive with UK blue hydrogen. Why are you assessing Hycamite's technology alongside that of Hazer and KBR? Both are methane pyrolysis, but they work differently and deliver slightly different products. Hycamite's technology is more about graphite, with grades that suit battery, defence and nuclear uses. The Hazer Group and KBR technology has strengths in hydrogen production, scalability and downstream ammonia. We are evaluating both and the plant could use both. What are your ammonia plans and how will hydrogen use be split with power? We would use hydrogen ourselves for power generation. We are also evaluating a clean ammonia plant, integrating pyrolysis hydrogen with KBR's ammonia synthesis loop. The UK has effectively no ammonia production — grey or low-carbon. Undeveloped gas in this part of the UK also typically comes with nitrogen, a major cost advantage over installing an air separation unit. It is early stage, but we think we will be competitive with renewable ammonia prices and could even compete with grey imports, which use cheaper methane, especially with the carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM). We would also consider exports to Europe, as the port gives us shipping, rail and road links for ammonia and graphite. The exothermic ammonia loop will cut a significant share of the hydrogen plant's energy needs. We can also adjust hydrogen output with electricity prices, in effect storing surplus power as hydrogen, which lowers costs. Then it comes down to the value of hydrogen-to-power relative to ammonia. Which part of Mesh will be built first? Each project component is independent. LDES is the pillar, but has the longest lead time, mainly because of planning processes. Gas storage could move very quickly with the right policy framework, which we expect in the Energy Independence Bill in autumn. If it mobilises investment, we will push ahead and could be running by 2030-31. The hydrogen plant could be built in as little as two years, and we want to progress it on graphite's commercialisation potential instead of waiting on the government's hydrogen strategy. If things go well, it could come ahead of the other two. It would start using grid gas, but stored gas or indigenous gas in the field would further improve its commerciality. Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Latest ammonia news

Ammonia STS transfers enable strait of Hormuz exports


12/10/26
Latest ammonia news
12/10/26

Ammonia STS transfers enable strait of Hormuz exports

London, 12 October (Argus) — A transshipped ammonia cargo loaded in the Gulf of Oman on Sunday, according to data from vessel tracking firm Kpler. A medium-sized ammonia carrier was identified inside the strait of Hormuz after the vessel was acquired by Saudi Arabian owner Bahri. A shipment of about 25,500t was then likely loaded on the vessel from Saudi Arabia and exported. Following a ship-to-ship transfer (STS) with the Searambler , the Saudi Arabian cargo is now expected to deliver to Paradip, India, by 20 October, according to Kpler. The delivery will most likely serve contract customers in India who have so far been unable to receive Saudi volumes largely since March. Saudi Arabian producers delivered more than 1mn t to India in 2025. That figure has fallen to just 146,000t so far this year. This shipment is the first non-Iranian vessel to attempt ammonia loading during the war, a move that most owners have so far deemed too risky given ammonia's toxicity and potential explosivity while vessels in the crucial waterway continue to sustain attacks. Iran has this week renewed threats against vessels which opt to turn off their navigation and identification systems in the waterway and are viewed as hostile. Meanwhile, Yemeni militant Houthis have over the weekend intensified attacks against Saudi Arabian infrastructure with strikes on King Khalid International airport in Riyadh. But the recent STS manoeuvre follows similar efforts in other markets such as LNG, LPG and crude, all of which have been utilising STS transfers to enable strait of Hormuz exports despite security risks. By Lizzy Lancaster Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Amogy, GS E&C venture secures NH3 for S Korean power


08/10/26
Latest ammonia news
08/10/26

Amogy, GS E&C venture secures NH3 for S Korean power

London, 8 October (Argus) — US technology firm Amogy and South Korea's GS Engineering and Construction (GS E&C) have agreed to buy 1,500t of renewable ammonia from Lotte Fine Chemical (LFC) for a planned 1MW power plant in Pohang, South Korea. The firms signed the deal through their Amun Energy joint venture, following an initial agreement last month. LFC will supply the ammonia over one year from 2027. The plant will sell power directly to businesses in the surrounding industrial complex. The 1,500t contain about 7,750MWh of energy on a lower heating value basis. At an electrical efficiency of 30-45pc, covering ammonia cracking combined with hydrogen engines or fuel cells, it could generate 2,300-3,500MWh, based on Argus calculations. This equates to a capacity factor of 27-40pc for a 1MW unit. Operating at full load throughout the year would require about 3,800-5,700t of ammonia. The firms have pitched the technology as a source of "round-the-clock power" for industrial sites and data centres, but the contracted volume suggests a gradual ramp-up. The partners plan to expand capacity to 10MW in 2028, with a longer-term target of up to 40MW. Scaling up the first year's contracted supply would imply ammonia demand of 15,000 t/yr and 60,000 t/yr, respectively. At full load, the 10MW plant would require about 38,000-57,000 t/yr, while the 40MW plant would need around 151,000-226,000 t/yr (see table) . A 40MW plant would generate 93-140 GWh/yr at the 1MW unit's implied utilisation, or about 350 GWh/yr at full load. Seoul plans to procure 500 GWh/yr for 2029-44 in its next clean hydrogen power tender. Dedicated ammonia-to-power plants remain eligible after the government ended support for coal-ammonia co-firing in August. LFC received the first export cargo from Envision Energy's renewable ammonia plant in Chifeng, China, earlier this year and is expanding ammonia storage at Ulsan. By Chingis Idrissov Potential ammonia demand and power output for Amun Energy's plants Capacity (MW) Ammonia demand based on first year (t/yr) Ammonia demand at full load (t/yr) Power at first year load (GWh/yr) Power at full load (GWh/yr) 1 1,500 3,800-5,700 2.3-3.5 9 10 15,000 38,000-57,000 23-35 88 40 60,000 151,000-226,000 93-140 350 Calculations assume 18.6 GJ/t ammonia lower heating value, 30-45pc electrical efficiency Argus calculations Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Latest ammonia news

Fertiglobe explores equity in Hamburg ammonia terminal


14/09/26
Latest ammonia news
14/09/26

Fertiglobe explores equity in Hamburg ammonia terminal

London, 14 September (Argus) — Ammonia producer and trading firm Fertiglobe could acquire a stake in Germany-based MB Energy's planned ammonia import terminal in Hamburg, under a recently announced initial agreement. Under the agreement, Fertiglobe will look to supply industrial ammonia buyer Covestro through MB Energy's 600,000 t/yr ammonia import terminal in Hamburg , which is now expected to begin operations in 2028 after various delays. Fertiglobe owns ammonia production assets in Algeria, Egypt and the UAE totalling around 4.4mn t/yr of capacity. The firm has a number of existing offtake deals with ammonia consumers in Europe, and will explore opportunities to supply other industrial buyers through the Hamburg terminal. Fertiglobe also has plans to develop renewable ammonia in Egypt , although a final investment decision on the project has been delayed since 2023. Covestro will use the ammonia as a feedstock in its existing production process, or to meet hydrogen supply requirements. Initially announced plans for the Hamburg terminal suggest it will connect to a cracking facility. Fertiglobe could supply conventional, renewable or low-carbon ammonia, the firm said. MB Energy recently announced the sale of its 1.3mn t/yr ammonia plant in the US Gulf, known as Gulf Coast Ammonia (GCA), to fertilizer producer Yara. MB Energy co-owns the GCA plant with US investment firm Lotus Infrastructure Partners. The Hamburg terminal will still be built and operated by MB Energy, suggesting the company will retain a presence in the ammonia logistics business. By Lizzy Lancaster Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Latest ammonia news

Sabic AN approves FID for new urea, ammonia facility


10/09/26
Latest ammonia news
10/09/26

Sabic AN approves FID for new urea, ammonia facility

Amsterdam, 10 September (Argus) — Saudi Arabian fertilizer producer Sabic AN's board has signed off on a final investment decision (FID) for its new 2.6mn t/yr urea facility, with commercial production set for the fourth quarter of 2030. The facility will also include a 1.2mn t/yr ammonia capacity and post-combustion carbon capture unit. Construction is planned to start in the fourth quarter this year, according to a stock exchange filing. The new facility will boost Sabic AN's annual urea capacity by just over half to 7.4mn t from 4.8mn t. The Saudi energy ministry approved the allocation of gas for the project in late March . Sabic AN is the sole supplier of urea in Saudi Arabia, producing and typically loading out of Jubail, but the war in the Middle East has forced the supplier to also load from Yanbu on the west coast. The firm ships most of its produced urea abroad, and Argus estimates exports of 4.1mn-4.2mn t last year. Sabic AN announced plans at the start of March to incorporate the Ibn Al-Baytar plant to its existing portfolio, adding slightly under 500,000 t/yr capacity, and bringing its overall urea capacity to just over 4.8mn t/yr, Argus estimates. There are two major announced urea projects set for completion by 2030 in the Mideast Gulf currently, excluding Iran, with state-owned producer QatarEnergy intending to build a new complex , doubling its urea production capacity to 12.4mn t/yr. The $3.5bn engineering, procurement and construction contract for the new Sabic AN facility has been awarded to Samsung. By Harry Minihan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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