Viewpoint: US poised for energy policy rush

  • Market: Crude oil, Emissions, Natural gas, Oil products
  • 26/12/19

President Donald Trump's administration is setting course to rapidly implement changes to energy sector regulations and open new areas to drilling ahead of next year's presidential election.

The administration's plan is to wrap up high-profile regulatory actions, hold contentious oil and gas lease sales in Alaska and finish as much energy-related litigation as possible in the last year of Trump's first term. Completing those actions early next year would make it harder for them to be overturned if a Democratic candidate wins in the 3 November elections.

The US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) is handling some of the highest profile of those regulations. They include two different rules expected for release in the first quarter of next year that would first ease and then potentially rescind methane restrictions on the oil and gas industry. A separate EPA rule, expected as soon as January, could freeze fuel-economy standards for cars and pickup trucks after 2020, boosting fuel use by 500,000 b/d by 2030.

EPA separately on 18 December asked a federal court to expedite a lawsuit from states and environmentalists challenging a decision this year to revoke the ability of California and other states to enforce their own clean vehicle standards that would increase to the equivalent of 46.7 miles/USG by 2025. EPA wants the court to hold arguments in the case by spring, which it said would give automakers certainty over their compliance obligations.

The US Interior Department's most significant upcoming action is a plan to hold its first oil and gas lease sale in Alaska's Arctic National Wildlife Refuge, a once-protected area estimated to hold 5.7bn-10.4bn bl of crude. Another priority will be finishing up a plan that could increase by 55pc the amount of federal acreage in the National Petroleum Reserve in Alaska available for leasing.

Interior's push for a massive expansion of offshore oil and gas leasing that would open up more than 95pc of federal waters to drilling has been placed on hold, in the wake of a court ruling that halted leasing off the coast of Alaska. Oil industry officials expect no movement on that plan until after the 2020 election because of opposition to offshore drilling in Florida and other swing states.

Interior is also defending in court its decision last year to weaken its implementation of the Endangered Species Act, a high-profile case that critics say would make it far harder for more species to gain protection. And the agency next year plans to propose a revision to oil, gas and coal royalty regulations, after a court this year halted its decision to block tougher rules.

Federal agencies in many cases are racing against the clock to finish regulations because the Congressional Review Act, a statute that allows lawmakers to disapprove recent rules by a majority vote. Republican lawmakers used the law in 2017 to throw out coal mining rules and oil payment transparency regulations. The law only applies to regulations within 60 legislative days, meaning rules finished by summer would not be subject to disapproval.

By Chris Knight


Sharelinkedin-sharetwitter-sharefacebook-shareemail-share

Related news posts

Argus illuminates the markets by putting a lens on the areas that matter most to you. The market news and commentary we publish reveals vital insights that enable you to make stronger, well-informed decisions. Explore a selection of news stories related to this one.

News
13/05/24

Potential strike threatens Vancouver port again

Potential strike threatens Vancouver port again

Calgary, 13 May (Argus) — A labour dispute at the Canadian port of Vancouver could result in another work stoppage, less than a year after a strike disrupted the flow of more than C$10bn ($7.3bn) worth of goods and commodities ranging from canola and potash to coking coal. Negotiations between the British Columbia Maritime Employers Association (BCMEA) and the International Longshore and Warehouse Union (ILWU) Ship and Dock Foremen Local 514 union have stalled as the two sides try to renew an agreement that expired on 1 April 2023. A 21-day "cooling-off period" concluded on 10 May, giving the union the right to strike and the employers association the right to lock out the workers. A vote and 72-hour notice would first need to occur before either action is taken. The BCMEA filed a formal complaint to the Canada Industrial Relations Board (CIRB) the same day, which had to step in last year in another dispute. The BCMEA locked horns with ILWU Canada over a separate collective agreement in 2023 leading to a 13-day strike by the union in July. This disrupted the movement of C$10.7bn of goods in and out of Canada, according to the Greater Vancouver Board of Trade. Vancouver's port is the country's largest — about the same size as the next five combined — and describes itself as able to handle the most diversified range of cargo in North America. There are 29 terminals belonging to the Port of Vancouver. Terminals that service container ships endured the most significant congestion during last year's strike. Loadings for potash, sulphur, lumber, wood pellets and pulp, steel-making coal, canola, copper concentrates, zinc and lead concentrate, diesel and renewable diesel liquids and some agri-foods were also disrupted. The Trans Mountain-operated Westridge Marine Terminal responsible for crude oil exports on Canada's west coast was unaffected. A deal was eventually reached on 4 August. The strike spurred on proposed amendments to legislation in Canada that would limit the effect of job action on essential services. A bill introduced in Canada's Parliament in November would update the Canada Labour Code and CIRB Regulations accordingly. The bill has been progressing through the House of Commons, now having completed the second of three readings. By Brett Holmes Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Find out more
News

Chevron books Aframax for TMX cargo to California


13/05/24
News
13/05/24

Chevron books Aframax for TMX cargo to California

Houston, 13 May (Argus) — Chevron provisionally hired an Aframax to haul a cargo of crude from Vancouver, British Columbia, to the US west coast as the Trans Mountain Expansion (TMX) brings more oil to Canada's Pacific coast. Chevron put the Aframax Garibaldi Spirit on subjects for a Vancouver-US west coast voyage loading from 25 May at WS125, market participants said. That rate is equivalent to $11.16/t or $1.63/bl for heavy sour Cold Lake, according to Argus data. The US west coast historically has been the main destination for crude exported from Vancouver, with 96pc, or about 38,500 b/d, landing at ports in Washington and California in the 12 months ended 30 April, according to data from analytics firm Vortexa. Chevron purchased five cargoes from Vancouver for its 269,000 b/d refinery in El Segundo, California, during that span, most recently in February. The 590,000 b/d TMX project began commercial service on 1 May, tripling the capacity of the Trans Mountain pipeline system to 890,000 b/d. The line creates a larger link from Alberta's growing oil sands production to the west coast port of Vancouver and direct access to Pacific Rim markets, where buyers are eager for heavy sour crude . The first TMX cargo, 550,000 bl of Canadian Access Western Blend which Suncor booked on an Aframax in late April , will load between 18-24 May for June delivery in China. PetroChina and Unipec each control an Aframax near Canada's Pacific coast that would be available to load in Vancouver in the second half of May, though those ships could also be relet to deliver crude to the US west coast. The port of Vancouver's distance from many traditional Aframax trading routes may stretch the global fleet once TMX ramps up. The port cannot accommodate tankers larger than Aframaxes. By Tray Swanson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Rains persist in Brazil's Rio Grande do Sul


13/05/24
News
13/05/24

Rains persist in Brazil's Rio Grande do Sul

Sao Paulo, 13 May (Argus) — Downpours that began flooding Brazil's heavily agricultural Rio Grande do Sul in late April persisted over the weekend, continuing to wreak havoc in the state. Rains reached an accumulated 123mm (4.8 inches) on 10-12 May in state capital Porto Alegre, according to Brazil's national meteorological institute Inmet. Some areas experienced around 80mm of rain on 12 May alone, according to US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Showers in Porto Alegre have reached an accumulated 502mm in May already, according to Brazilian meteorological firm Climatempo. The monthly average is of 111mm. River and lake levels also kept rising. The Guaiba lake, in the state's capital, reached 4.9m (16ft) on Monday morning — up from 4.8m on 10 May, according to the state government. It is considered in a flood stage once it reaches 3m. Most rivers in the state, such as the Gravatai, Taquari and Uruguai, are also above flood levels. A bridge over the Cai River, which links Nova Petropolis and Caxias do Sul cities, broke partially on Sunday. As a result, a stretch of the BR-116 highway is closed, according to the national department of transport infrastructure. The river's levels are 6m above normal. Brazil's national center for natural disaster monitoring and alerts still considers the risk of "new hydrological occurrences" to be "very high" in Rio Grande do Sul and neighboring Santa Catarina state. The extreme weather has left 147 dead and 127 missing, according to the civil defense. Over 538,000 people are displaced. By Lucas Parolin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

Banks’ 2023 fossil fuel funding rises to $705bn: Study


13/05/24
News
13/05/24

Banks’ 2023 fossil fuel funding rises to $705bn: Study

London, 13 May (Argus) — Fossil fuel financing by the world's 60 largest banks rose to $705bn in 2023, up by 4.8pc from $673bn in 2022, with the increase largely driven by financing for the LNG sector. This brings the total funding for fossil fuels since the Paris agreement was signed in 2015 to $6.9 trillion. The 15th annual Banking on Climate Chaos (BOCC) report was released on 13 May by a group of non-governmental and civil society organisations including the Rainforest Action Network and Oil Change International, and it analyses the world's 60 largest commercial and investment banks, according to ratings agency Standard and Poor's (S&P). Funding had previously dropped in 2022 to $673bn from $742bn in 2021, but this was because higher profits for oil and gas companies had led to reduced borrowing. JPMorgan Chase was the largest financier of fossil fuels in 2023 at $40.9bn, up from $38.7bn a year earlier, according to the report. It also topped the list for banks providing financing to companies with fossil fuel expansion plans, with its commitments rising to $19.3bn from $17.1bn in 2022. Japanese bank Mizuho was the second-largest financier, increasing funding commitments to $37bn for all fossil fuels, from $35.4bn in 2022. The Bank of America came in third with $33.7bn, although this was a drop from $37.3bn a year earlier. Out of the 60 banks, 27 increased financing for companies with fossil fuel exposure, with the rise driven by funding for the LNG sector — including fracking, import, export, transport and gas-fired power. Developers have rallied support for LNG projects as part of efforts to boost energy security after the Russia-Ukraine war began in 2022, and banks are actively backing this sector, stated the report. "The rise in rankings by Mizuho and the prominence of the other two Japanese megabanks — MUFG [Mitsubishi UFG Financial Group] and SMBC [Sumitomo Mitsui Banking] — is a notable fossil fuel trend for 2023," the report said. Mizuho and MUFG dominated LNG import and export financing, providing $10.9bn and $8.4bn respectively, to companies expanding this sector. Total funding for the LNG methane gas sector in 2023 was $121bn, up from $116bn in 2022. Financing for thermal coal mining increased slightly to $42.2bn, from $39.7bn in 2022. Out of this, 81pc came from Chinese banks, according to the report, while several North American banks have provided funds to this sector, including Bank of America. Some North American banks have also rolled back on climate commitments, according to the report. Bank of America, for example, had previously committed to not directly financing projects involving new or expanded coal-fired power plants or coal mines, but changed its policy in late 2023 to state that such projects would undergo "enhanced due diligence" and senior-level reviews. The report also notes that most banks' coal exclusions only apply to thermal coal and not metallurgical coal. Total borrowing by oil majors such as Eni, ConocoPhillips, Chevron and Shell fell by 5.24pc in 2023, with several such as TotalEnergies, ExxonMobil and Hess indicating zero financing for the year. The BOCC report's finance data was sourced from either Bloomberg or the London Stock Exchange between December 2023 and February 2024. UK-based bank Barclays, which ranks ninth on the list with $24.2bn in fossil fuel funding, said that the report does not recognise the classification of some of the data. Its "financed emissions for the energy and power sectors have reduced by 44pc and 26pc respectively, between 2020-23," it said. In response to its increase in financing for gas power, "investment is needed to support existing oil and gas assets, while clean energy is scaled," the bank said. By Prethika Nair Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

News

FTC flexes muscles over US oil mergers


13/05/24
News
13/05/24

FTC flexes muscles over US oil mergers

New York, 13 May (Argus) — US antitrust regulator the Federal Trade Commission's insistence that the former chief executive of independent Pioneer Natural Resources, Scott Sheffield, be barred from ExxonMobil's board as a condition of approving their $64.5bn merger serves as a cautionary tale for other pending deals. The FTC alleged that Sheffield, a long-time industry leader who made Pioneer one of the biggest producers in the Permian, sought to collude with Opec. It cited hundreds of text messages in which he discussed pricing and output with officials from the oil cartel, as well as efforts to co-ordinate with other Texas producers. The fallout for other transactions still going through the approvals process may be limited, given the specific nature of the allegations against Sheffield, but the FTC's action shows the agency will not hesitate to demand concessions in order to wave deals through. Given heightened political sensitivities to fuel prices in an election year, that should put the industry on notice. At the very least, future reviews are likely to include requests to turn over any records — electronic or otherwise — that involve discussions with competitors or other oil-producing jurisdictions, according to former FTC chairman Bill Kovacic. "It's a reminder that conversations with your competitors about production levels and pricing levels are exceedingly unwise," Kovacic says. It was significant that the FTC did not tamper with the basic fundamentals of the Pioneer acquisition. "I suspect the former CEO is unhappy about being placed on the sidelines," he says. But it is also a "relatively inexpensive price to pay for getting this done". Under the leadership of Lina Khan, the FTC has taken a tougher line when it comes to mergers, and second requests for information have become the norm when it comes to oil deals. Chevron's planned $53bn acquisition of US independent Hess has been held up by such a request, even as a dispute over the target company's stake in a giant offshore find in Guyana has cast a cloud over the transaction. Diamondback Energy's announced $26bn takeover of Endeavor Energy Resources was also subject to a second request. Occidental Petroleum chief executive Vicki Hollub told analysts in February that "some of our teams felt like [the FTC] asked for everything" when going through the approval process for the company's $12bn purchase of CrownRock. But Occidental said this week that its teams are working "constructively" with the regulator, and that the deal is expected to close in the third quarter. Consolidation over consumers? The rapid pace of consolidation in the US oil and gas sector since late last year has led to mounting calls for increased scrutiny on antitrust grounds. "Let's not kid ourselves, these mergers aren't just about efficiency or lowering costs," US Senate Democratic majority leader Chuck Schumer wrote in a letter signed by 50 Senate and House Democrats in March. They are about "buying out the competition so the newly consolidated industry can boost profits at the expense of consumers". Given long-serving company executives' preference to stick around after selling their firms, the FTC's action in relation to Pioneer could theoretically dissuade other ‘big-name' founders from going down the same road, consultancy Rystad senior analyst Matthew Bernstein says. On the other hand, the loss of control for family-owned operators has already served as a big enough obstacle for some companies that would otherwise be seen as takeover targets. As for Sheffield, Pioneer has said the FTC's complaint reflects a "fundamental misunderstanding" of US and global oil markets and "misreads the nature and intent" of his actions. Pioneer more than doubled its daily production between 2019 and 2023, playing its part in adding to domestic energy supply, the firm said. By Stephen Cunningham Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2024. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Business intelligence reports

Get concise, trustworthy and unbiased analysis of the latest trends and developments in oil and energy markets. These reports are specially created for decision makers who don’t have time to track markets day-by-day, minute-by-minute.

Learn more