Overview

The ease of urea availability east and west of Suez has shaped the current trade flows of this key nitrogen fertilizer. Despite challenges posed by energy prices and military conflicts, key import markets such as India, Australia, and Latin America remain robust. But structural oversupply and the role of China as a swing exporter have led to price volatility as this fast-moving market seeks equilibrium, more so during seasonally high-demand periods. 
 
Our extensive nitrogen coverage includes prilled and granular urea, UAN, ammonium nitrate, and ammonium sulphate. Argus has many decades of experience covering the nitrogen market and incorporates our multi-commodity market expertise in key areas including ammonia and natural gas to provide the full market narrative.

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05/03/26

US-Iran war exposes Australia’s urea import reliance

US-Iran war exposes Australia’s urea import reliance

Sydney, 5 March (Argus) — The US-Iran war is causing unprecedented risk to Australia's fertilizer supply in a period of peak demand, market sources said, highlighting the country's reliance on urea imports from the Persian Gulf since the closure of domestic manufacturers earlier this decade. Australia imported 64pc of its urea from the gulf in 2025, trade data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) show. Current domestic urea supplies will last until mid-April, but Australia will need additional imports beyond that, multiple suppliers told Argus , as they turn to alternative sources including southeast Asia and Oman. Oman's 2.1mn t/yr Omifco plant remains operational, but it is unclear whether its 1.2mn t/yr SIUCI plant is still operating. Supply from Oman is limited, but vessels were still loading as of 3 March. Australia imported 1.2mn t of urea from southeast Asia in 2025, representing around 32pc of the country's total imports, ABS data show. Most southeast Asian producers are sold out for March, and vessels typically take 2-3 weeks to reach Australia's east coast. A total of 118,900t of urea is currently in transit to Australia from Brunei, Malaysia and Indonesia across four vessels, vessel tracking data from Kpler show. Another 165,100t of urea is in transit from Saudi Arabia and the UAE. Australian growers had been holding off on considerable urea purchases because of dry conditions in most of eastern Australia. Growers now requesting volumes are facing limited offers, according to a market participant. A prolonged war blocking urea exports from the Persian Gulf or leading to higher prices from alternate suppliers could moderate top dressing applications and downgrade Australia's crop quality and quantity. Domestic delivered urea prices have risen consistently since the conflict began on 28 February. Offers are currently above A$1,000/t free carrier (fca) Geelong and Argus last assessed granular urea at A$830-840/t fca Geelong on 26 February. Domestic demand for granular urea peaks in April-June for pre-seeding and top-dressing applications on winter crops such as canola, barley and wheat. Without sufficient urea, growers are looking for alternative nitrogen sources including ammonium sulphate (amsul). Domestic amsul prices were last reported at A$480/t fca Geelong and suppliers are reporting low stocks after a rush of demand from growers. Australia imported 575,400t of amsul from China in 2025, accounting for 99pc of its total imports, ABS data show. Australia became dependent on urea imports in 2022 when Dyno Nobel closed its 499,000 t/yr Gibson Island facility . By Susannah Cornford and Ed Dunlop Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Latest nitrogen news

Nola urea prices surge on US-Iran conflict


02/03/26
Latest nitrogen news
02/03/26

Nola urea prices surge on US-Iran conflict

Houston, 2 March (Argus) — The price of urea barges sold at New Orleans (Nola) surged higher today and over the weekend in response to the conflict between US and Israeli forces and Iran, because of the risk posed to global urea supplies. Barges at Nola traded roughly $50-80/st, or 11-17pc, higher on Monday compared with trade at $470/st fob Nola on 28 February. Barges loading in the second half of March transacted from $520-550/st fob Nola on Monday morning. Trade also occurred on 28 February, the same day the US and Israel launched its attacks. A March loading barge transacted at $495/st fob Nola, second-half March barges from $490-505/st fob and first-half April volumes from $487-492/st fob. The conflict presents a major risk to US urea supplies, especially ahead of the spring planting season when the bulk of urea applications occur. Vessels loading on Monday in the Middle East would arrive in mid-April. March and April represent the largest-volume months of urea imports in a given July-June fertilizer year. If shipments from the Middle East are delayed or disrupted, the US would lose a critical source of urea, likely crunching supply and laying the groundwork for upward price volatility. Middle Eastern producers of urea so far have suspended offers and are grappling with shipping complications in the strait of Hormuz. US urea imports from July through February totaled 2.35mn t, leading year-earlier levels by 5pc and the five-year average by 1pc, based on Argus estimates and US Census Bureau data. But the US ended the last fertilizer year with abnormally low inventories and lost more supply than usual to planned production plant turnarounds, increasing its need for seaborne shipments. The Middle East accounted for 28pc of US urea imports in 2025 and the region is the world's largest urea exporter, shipping around 20mn t/yr, 35pc of global seaborne trade, of which Iran accounts for about a quarter. By Calder Jett Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Urea derivatives surge on Middle East conflict


02/03/26
Latest nitrogen news
02/03/26

Urea derivatives surge on Middle East conflict

London, 2 March (Argus) — Paper contracts for urea have jumped, some up by more than 10pc from the end of last week, in the wake of the US-Iran conflict in the Middle East. March and April US Gulf futures have traded at $500/t on the CME. The April contract had been framed at around $440-450/t by at least one broker on 27 February. Bids for Middle East urea derivatives have pushed to above $500/t, with March in the low $500s/t and April bid at around $510/t, up from around $470/t and the mid-$450s/t at the midpoint, respectively, on 27 February. Major Middle East urea suppliers have withdrawn physical offers as they take stock of the situation and gauge the increasingly complicated shipping situation in the region. But Egyptian physical sales are continuing, with north African deals taking place in the $520s/t fob earlier today. Urea prices are surging in the wake of the conflict, which threatens to choke supply from a region that accounts for around 35pc of global seaborne urea trade. By Harry Minihan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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Egypt’s NCIC issues March fertilizer sales tender


02/03/26
Latest nitrogen news
02/03/26

Egypt’s NCIC issues March fertilizer sales tender

London, 2 March (Argus) — Egyptian producer NCIC has issued its second tender to sell various fertilizers for loading this month, closing on 4 March. NCIC is offering the following fertilizers: 10,000t of DAP 10,000t of TSP 10,000t of granular urea 15,000t of CAN26 Under its previous tender to sell fertilizers for loading in March, which closed on 19 February, NCIC reported the following awards : 20,000t of DAP at up to $750/t fob 25,000t of TSP at up to $560/t fob 20,000t of granular urea at up to $492/t fob 20,000t of CAN26 at up to $305/t fob 500t of water-soluble SOP at up to $575/t fob By Tom Hampson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

Latest nitrogen news

Major Middle East urea producers withdraw offers


02/03/26
Latest nitrogen news
02/03/26

Major Middle East urea producers withdraw offers

Amsterdam, 2 March (Argus) — Urea offers in the Middle East have dried up on the back of the escalation of conflict in the region, while producers take stock and gauge clarity on the freight situation. Granular urea was priced at $490-495/t fob Middle East on 27 February. But levels are set to surge in light of the hostilities, with Egyptian granular urea trading higher on 28 February. At least two major Middle Eastern producers have taken a step back from the market to assess the fallout from the escalating conflict in Iran. Suppliers are also grappling with complications related to the strait of Hormuz, a crucial shipping channel in the region. Some vessels are still crossing the strait, but the number is limited, according to a shipping source. Vessel owners' inability or unwillingness to cross Hormuz threatens deliveries from other suppliers in the region beyond Iran, with producers in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and the UAE braced for impact. Producers in those countries accounted for a collective 12.6mn t of urea exports in 2024, according to Argus data. On paper, Omani suppliers Omifco and SIUCI may be spared the brunt of the impacts given that they lie beyond the strait. But SIUCI, which loads its 1.22mn t/yr granular urea capacity at Sohar, is in the country's Al Batinah North Governorate and is closer to the strait. The supplier may face additional issues with vessel availability and the extra risk facing vessel owners. Omifco, which supplies its 2.1mn t/yr granular urea capacity through trading arm OQ and loads at Sur, appears less likely to be affected given its location further along the peninsular in the Ash-Sharqiyah region. The Middle East is the largest urea export region and ships around 20mn t/yr, 35pc of global seaborne trade, of which Iran accounts for about a quarter. By Harry Minihan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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