Overview
The ease of urea availability east and west of Suez has shaped the current trade flows of this key nitrogen fertilizer. Despite challenges posed by energy prices and military conflicts, key import markets such as India, Australia, and Latin America remain robust. But structural oversupply and the role of China as a swing exporter have led to price volatility as this fast-moving market seeks equilibrium, more so during seasonally high-demand periods.
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Nola urea prices surge on US-Iran conflict
Nola urea prices surge on US-Iran conflict
Houston, 2 March (Argus) — The price of urea barges sold at New Orleans (Nola) surged higher today and over the weekend in response to the conflict between US and Israeli forces and Iran, because of the risk posed to global urea supplies. Barges at Nola traded roughly $50-80/st, or 11-17pc, higher on Monday compared with trade at $470/st fob Nola on 28 February. Barges loading in the second half of March transacted from $520-550/st fob Nola on Monday morning. Trade also occurred on 28 February, the same day the US and Israel launched its attacks. A March loading barge transacted at $495/st fob Nola, second-half March barges from $490-505/st fob and first-half April volumes from $487-492/st fob. The conflict presents a major risk to US urea supplies, especially ahead of the spring planting season when the bulk of urea applications occur. Vessels loading on Monday in the Middle East would arrive in mid-April. March and April represent the largest-volume months of urea imports in a given July-June fertilizer year. If shipments from the Middle East are delayed or disrupted, the US would lose a critical source of urea, likely crunching supply and laying the groundwork for upward price volatility. Middle Eastern producers of urea so far have suspended offers and are grappling with shipping complications in the strait of Hormuz. US urea imports from July through February totaled 2.35mn t, leading year-earlier levels by 5pc and the five-year average by 1pc, based on Argus estimates and US Census Bureau data. But the US ended the last fertilizer year with abnormally low inventories and lost more supply than usual to planned production plant turnarounds, increasing its need for seaborne shipments. The Middle East accounted for 28pc of US urea imports in 2025 and the region is the world's largest urea exporter, shipping around 20mn t/yr, 35pc of global seaborne trade, of which Iran accounts for about a quarter. By Calder Jett Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Urea derivatives surge on Middle East conflict
Urea derivatives surge on Middle East conflict
London, 2 March (Argus) — Paper contracts for urea have jumped, some up by more than 10pc from the end of last week, in the wake of the US-Iran conflict in the Middle East. March and April US Gulf futures have traded at $500/t on the CME. The April contract had been framed at around $440-450/t by at least one broker on 27 February. Bids for Middle East urea derivatives have pushed to above $500/t, with March in the low $500s/t and April bid at around $510/t, up from around $470/t and the mid-$450s/t at the midpoint, respectively, on 27 February. Major Middle East urea suppliers have withdrawn physical offers as they take stock of the situation and gauge the increasingly complicated shipping situation in the region. But Egyptian physical sales are continuing, with north African deals taking place in the $520s/t fob earlier today. Urea prices are surging in the wake of the conflict, which threatens to choke supply from a region that accounts for around 35pc of global seaborne urea trade. By Harry Minihan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Egypt’s NCIC issues March fertilizer sales tender
Egypt’s NCIC issues March fertilizer sales tender
London, 2 March (Argus) — Egyptian producer NCIC has issued its second tender to sell various fertilizers for loading this month, closing on 4 March. NCIC is offering the following fertilizers: 10,000t of DAP 10,000t of TSP 10,000t of granular urea 15,000t of CAN26 Under its previous tender to sell fertilizers for loading in March, which closed on 19 February, NCIC reported the following awards : 20,000t of DAP at up to $750/t fob 25,000t of TSP at up to $560/t fob 20,000t of granular urea at up to $492/t fob 20,000t of CAN26 at up to $305/t fob 500t of water-soluble SOP at up to $575/t fob By Tom Hampson Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Major Middle East urea producers withdraw offers
Major Middle East urea producers withdraw offers
Amsterdam, 2 March (Argus) — Urea offers in the Middle East have dried up on the back of the escalation of conflict in the region, while producers take stock and gauge clarity on the freight situation. Granular urea was priced at $490-495/t fob Middle East on 27 February. But levels are set to surge in light of the hostilities, with Egyptian granular urea trading higher on 28 February. At least two major Middle Eastern producers have taken a step back from the market to assess the fallout from the escalating conflict in Iran. Suppliers are also grappling with complications related to the strait of Hormuz, a crucial shipping channel in the region. Some vessels are still crossing the strait, but the number is limited, according to a shipping source. Vessel owners' inability or unwillingness to cross Hormuz threatens deliveries from other suppliers in the region beyond Iran, with producers in Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Bahrain and the UAE braced for impact. Producers in those countries accounted for a collective 12.6mn t of urea exports in 2024, according to Argus data. On paper, Omani suppliers Omifco and SIUCI may be spared the brunt of the impacts given that they lie beyond the strait. But SIUCI, which loads its 1.22mn t/yr granular urea capacity at Sohar, is in the country's Al Batinah North Governorate and is closer to the strait. The supplier may face additional issues with vessel availability and the extra risk facing vessel owners. Omifco, which supplies its 2.1mn t/yr granular urea capacity through trading arm OQ and loads at Sur, appears less likely to be affected given its location further along the peninsular in the Ash-Sharqiyah region. The Middle East is the largest urea export region and ships around 20mn t/yr, 35pc of global seaborne trade, of which Iran accounts for about a quarter. By Harry Minihan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.

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