Overview
Demand for biofuels is increasing significantly, driven by the need to decarbonise road transport as part of the energy transition. Global biofuels output is expected to rise by more than 3mn b/d in the next five years, and such rapid growth means that new challenges and opportunities are constantly emerging. Keeping on top of the ever-changing biofuels landscape requires accurate pricing, insightful analysis and access to the latest data.
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Browse the latest market moving news on the global biofuels industry.
India's Essar plans SAF, HVO plant in 2028-29
India's Essar plans SAF, HVO plant in 2028-29
Singapore, 16 January (Argus) — India's Essar Future Energy, part of Indian conglomerate Essar Global Fund, plans to build a 800,000 t/yr hydrotreated biofuels plant in India, projected to start operations between the second half of 2028 and early 2029. The plant will be located in the Gujarat state's Devbhumi Dwarka district and is expected to reach a final investment decision (FID) in the next few months, its chief commercial officer Nikunj Nangalia told Argus . It aims to process 1mn t/yr of hydrotreated esters and fatty acids (HEFA) feedstocks to produce around 800,000 t/yr of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) and hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO), Nangalia said. The facility will consume fats, oils and greases as feedstock, primarily used cooking oil (UCO) from both domestic sources and imports from main UCO markets abroad. But Essar is also considering other feedstocks like tallow, palm oil mill effluent (Pome) oil and non-edible oils, Nangalia said. The SAF and HVO produced will have both ISCC EU and Corsia certification. A large part of the product will be shipped to the UK for captive consumption in Essar's Stanlow refinery, where it will be blended with fossil jet and diesel and supplied to the market to meet UK renewables targets. The remaining volumes will be exported to other destinations and supplied in India when SAF mandates come in, Nangalia said. India aims to achieve 1pc of SAF usage in international flights by 2027 , to rise to 2pc by 2028 and 5pc by 2030. The facility will require a 51bn rupees (US$566mn) initial investment, and subsequent capital injections in phases to total an estimated $1bn in capital expenditure over the next few years. This includes other required infrastructure such as pipeline logistics to ports, water treatment facilities and more. Essar Future Energy's chief executive Vibhav Agarwal signed an initial agreement with the Gujarat government this week to get approval to build the facility. By Sarah Giam Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
US imported biofuel credit cut unlikely in 2026
US imported biofuel credit cut unlikely in 2026
New York, 15 January (Argus) — President Donald Trump's administration is unlikely to immediately slash blending credits for foreign biofuels and feedstocks brought into the US, but the idea remains under consideration, people familiar with the matter said. The Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) last year floated a major revamp of the long-running biofuel program, including a plan to halve credits for blending biofuels produced abroad or made from foreign feedstocks. The Trump administration told a court last month it would finalize new biofuel quotas in the first quarter , kickstarting a last-minute lobbying campaign around whether EPA should proceed with the import-credit cuts. Two industry stakeholders closely tracking the debate told Argus that the administration's initial idea to slash credits for foreign fuels and feedstocks at the start of 2026 is likely dead. The US has previously been more cautious when finalizing retroactive biofuel mandates to avoid legal scrutiny, and it is not clear how regulators could belatedly track whether fuels already blended were made from foreign feedstocks. Any rule, even one announced in the coming weeks, would take effect 60 days after publication in the Federal Register . Oil refiners in particular have cast the plan as a threat to retail fuel prices and likely illegal, while US farm advocates worried about imports of renewable diesel feedstocks like used cooking oil have supported restrictions. Under the Renewable Fuel Standard program, EPA requires oil companies to annually blend different types of biofuels into the conventional fuel supply or buy credits from those that do. But there are still advocates within the administration for cutting program credits for imports, the industry stakeholders said. A third source who is directly familiar with the administration's thinking told Argus that the half-credit idea "remains in play". For instance, White House senior counselor for trade Peter Navarro — a longtime Trump adviser and vocal supporter of trade barriers — endorsed the half-credit proposal on Thursday in an unusual op-ed in The Hill website. "The rule closes loopholes that have allowed questionable imports to undercut American farmers and distort the market at scale," Navarro wrote. US secretary of agriculture Brooke Rollins shared the article on social media platform X, saying it was "spot on". Alternatively, biofuel supporters have told EPA that a record-high mandate for biomass-based diesel would support biorefineries that have struggled with policy uncertainty over the last year and guarantee strong demand for US feedstocks like soybean oil even without changes to the credit market. Some have advocated for a biomass-based diesel mandate for 2026 that amounts to between 5.2bn-5.6bn USG/yr of required blending. That is line with the Trump administration's proposal last year but would be a substantial jump from blend requirements of just 3.35bn USG/yr in 2025. Vintage-year 2026 Renewable Identification Number (RIN) credits tied to biomass-based diesel blending under the program rose to 126.5¢/RIN on Thursday, according to Argus assessments, the highest level for current-year credits in more than two years. RIN prices were supported by higher soybean oil futures after Navarro's op-ed, as well as new EPA data that showed continued weak biomass-based diesel RIN generation in December. EPA said it is "reviewing comments" as it "continues to work on a final regulation" and noted the court filing in which the Trump administration said it aims to finalize program updates this quarter. The White House did not respond to requests for comment. Other more technical decisions around program implementation could affect crop demand, biofuel production margins and fuel prices. EPA has proposed slightly cutting the amount of credits generated from blending a gallon of renewable diesel and potentially requiring larger oil companies to blend more biofuels to offset recent program exemptions granted to smaller competitors. By Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
New Mexico favors spring LCFS start
New Mexico favors spring LCFS start
Houston, 9 January (Argus) — New Mexico regulators today restored plans to begin its low-carbon fuel standard (LCFS) this spring after determining delays could create cascading problems for it. If finalized, the US' fourth LCFS program could begin credit trade in August following a 1 April program start date. New Mexico would pursue a 20pc reduction from 2018 road fuel carbon intensity by the end of this decade by replacing more and more conventional gasoline and diesel with lower-carbon alternatives. Members the state Environmental Improvement Board (EIB) continued debate on the final rules on Friday. They reconsidered a vote taken previous day to move the program start back to 1 July to allow obligated parties more time to prepare without shifting back deadlines to comply with the program. The state's Environment Department noted after the vote that the decision would ripple through other milestones for credit and deficit generation as well as fees collected to administer the program. "You can see that by changing the effective date there really is a domino effect of pushing everything back, including jeopardizing the fees necessary to run the program in the early years," EIB member Sandra Ely said. Board members reversed their decision to move the effective date as they worked through rulemaking language for a second day. "It did keep me up last night that I did that and I have the opportunity to correct it," member Karen Garcia said. LCFS programs require yearly reductions of road fuel carbon intensity. Higher-carbon fuels that exceed the annual limits incur deficits that suppliers must offset with credits generated from the distribution to the market of approved, lower-carbon alternatives. New Mexico follows California, Oregon and Washington in the US, as well as British Columbia and Canada, in establishing the standard. Credit and deficit generation would begin this year, with the first compliance period closing on 31 December 2027. Five board members either braved wintry mix at the state capitol or joined by videoconference to trudge line-by-line through hundreds of pages of rulemaking. The members reviewed edits proposed throughout by oil industry, refining, alternative fuels and environmental groups. The group largely declined to revise language proposed in November, including recommendations to not generate deficits for the first year of the program or to eliminate all book-and-claim accounting for fuels such as renewable natural gas. Members were less certain about whether the legislature was clear enough in the law to empower the department to enforce the law with penalties. That discussion had not resumed as of mid-afternoon on Friday. The board has the option to meet again later this month if the members cannot complete their review and make recommendations by the end of the day. By Elliott Blackburn Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Brazil inflation slows to 4.26pc in Dec
Brazil inflation slows to 4.26pc in Dec
Sao Paulo, 9 January (Argus) — Brazil's headline inflation decelerated to an annual 4.26pc in December, mainly driven by power tariffs within housing costs. The consumer price index IPCA eased from 4.46pc in November, national statistics agency IBGE said Friday, after decelerating from 4.68pc in October. The annual figure was down from 4.83pc in December 2024 and marked the lowest year-end reading since 3.75pc in December 2018. The result came in below the 4.5pc forecast by the national monetary council CNM. Housing costs, personal expenses, education and healthcare were among the largest contributors to IPCA in December, accounting for 64pc of the annual result, IBGE said. Food and beverage costs, which weigh heavily on the index, decelerated to an annual 2.95pc in 2025 from 7.69pc a year prior. Food expenses at home decelerated to 1.43pc to end 2025 from 8.23pc in December 2024, driven mainly by lower rice and milk costs in the period. Housing costs accelerated to an annual 6.79pc in December 2025 from 3.06pc in December 2024, driven by recurring power tariffs from May-December. Power costs accelerated to 12.31pc in December after up to 21.95pc of tariff readjustments throughout the year. As for services, the index accelerated to 6.01pc in December 2025 from 4.78pc a year earlier. Brazil's central bank has kept its target interest rate stable at 15pc since June 2025. The central bank has said it plans to keep the rate steady to counter inflation. By João Curi Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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