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European jet premiums slide as prompt supply fears ease
European jet premiums slide as prompt supply fears ease
London, 1 May (Argus) — European jet fuel premiums to Ice gasoil futures have fallen to their lowest since the early days of the US-Iran war as confidence builds that near-term supply is adequate. But the outlook for the summer peak remains uncertain. Argus assessed jet fuel delivered to northwest Europe at a $200/t premium to front-month Ice gasoil futures on 30 April, the lowest since 2 March — the first session after the war began on 28 February. Jet fuel traded at $67.80/bl above the North Sea Dated crude benchmark on 29 April, marking the narrowest crack spread in more than two weeks. Market participants said values held steady on 1 May. Premiums have eased steadily over the past week as fears of supply shortfalls in Europe have receded, at least in the short term. Several airlines and producers played down the risk of shortages. Ryanair and Air France-KLM executives dismissed concerns this week, while refiners including Spain's Repsol and Austria's OMV said they are meeting supply commitments. Some market participants now view supply as secure until at least the second half of May. Improved sentiment has been underpinned by rising imports from sources outside the Mideast Gulf. Europe sharply increased jet fuel inflows from the US and Nigeria in April, with arrivals from both countries hitting monthly record highs. Although these volumes are not large enough to fully replace supply lost as a result of the US-Iran war, their rapid arrival after Mideast Gulf cargoes dried up has helped stabilise prompt availability. European refiners have also responded by maximising jet fuel output and postponing maintenance to cash in on strong margins and safeguard supply. The UK has asked its refiners to prioritise jet fuel production, while Sweden and Germany said strong domestic refining capacity is supporting the market. At the same time, Europe has relied heavily on inventories to offset the loss of Middle East supply. Stocks are replacing more than half of the missing volumes, according to Argus Consulting. But this buffer is finite. Independent jet fuel inventories in the ARA hub have fallen to six-year lows of about 550,000t, while stock cover varies widely across European countries. The IEA expects Europe to hold an average of 23 days of jet fuel stocks by June — a level it classifies as a shortage. Market participants also point to higher Chinese jet fuel exports in May , which will support global balances even if most volumes do not flow directly to Europe. Beyond early summer, however, fundamentals become less clear. Near-term supply relief comes ahead of the seasonal peak in aviation demand, which the IEA does not believe current supply levels can meet, particularly given Europe's reliance on inventories. Some participants expect demand destruction later in the year if high prices persist. The jet fuel market remains structurally tight. Global balances are still undersupplied because the strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed to normal commercial flows. Outright jet fuel prices in Europe are close to double pre-war levels, reflecting ongoing geopolitical risk and fragile supply. Most market participants do not expect the market to stabilise until Hormuz flows resume and inventories can be rebuilt. In the meantime, high prices are needed to keep arbitrage flows from the US and Nigeria viable, participants said. By Amaar Khan Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
Japan’s petchem supplies to last into next year: PM
Japan’s petchem supplies to last into next year: PM
Tokyo, 1 May (Argus) — Japan's supply of naphtha-derived chemical products is sufficient to last beyond the end of this year, prime minister Sanae Takaichi said. Japanese refiners are continuing to produce domestically refined naphtha, while naphtha imports from countries outside the Middle East — including the US, Algeria and Peru — will treble in May compared with levels before the escalation of geopolitical tension in the Middle East, Takaichi said on 30 April. Naphtha imports from such countries were 900,000 kilolitres (190,000 b/d) in April and will surpass 1.35mn kl in May, according to the trade and industry ministry Meti. Japan has also secured stocks of intermediate chemical products, such as polyethylene and polypropylene, totalling around 1.8 months' worth of use. These procurement efforts and inventory utilisation mean Japan can maintain its supply of naphtha-derived chemical products beyond the end of the year, Takaichi said, up from the previous estimate of over six months made in early April. Japan has secured around 1.4mn b/d of crude oil for May, accounting for around 60pc of the country's requirement based on average 2025 imports of 2.36mn b/d, Takaichi said. The country secured more than 500,000 b/d in April, around 20pc of its needs, according to Meti. Japan has been drawing on its stockpiles to cover its remaining requirements. It began releasing a second batch of oil from its national reserves on 1 May, Meti said today. The ministry previously said on 30 April that the start of this release would be delayed by one day to 2 May. Takaichi also reiterated that Japan has sufficient oil supplies to last beyond the end of this year, taking into account its oil reserves and alternative purchases. Tokyo has been providing fuel subsidies to ease the impact of rising oil prices caused by supply disruptions through the strait of Hormuz, as it aims to cap retail gasoline prices at around ¥170/l ($1.08/l). Japan's nationwide average gasoline price has fallen to ¥170/l, which is half the level in European countries and similar to prices in oil-producer the US, Takaichi stressed. Japan's subsidised retail gasoline prices averaged ¥169.7/l as of 27 April, according to Meti. By Kohei Yamamoto Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
PBF to move WTI to US east coast on Jones waiver
PBF to move WTI to US east coast on Jones waiver
Houston, 30 April (Argus) — Refiner PBF Energy is planning to run WTI crude at its eastern US refineries in the second quarter taking advantage of a waiver of the Jones Act, the company said today. With the Jones Act "on the shelf for a period of time", PBF can run non-traditional crudes to the east coast, including WTI and other US barrels, chief executive Matthew Lucey said on an earnings call. PBF's east coast facilities include the 171,000 b/d Delaware City refinery in Delaware and the 100,000 b/d Paulsboro refinery in New Jersey. The refineries run a variety of heavy crude slates, which they can receive through waterborne cargoes or by rail, but can also process lighter, sweeter oil like Bakken crude. The shipments would take advantage of a Jones Act waiver first issued on 17 March and later extended by 90 days through 15 August. US president Donald Trump approved the waiver of domestic shipping requirements in an attempt to ease a spike in commodity prices caused by the US-Iran war. PBF earlier this month shipped heavy crude between two points in California on a foreign-flagged ship, the second instance of the Jones Act waiver being used to move crude cargoes, according to ship-tracking data from Kpler. Phillips 66 has also shipped oil using a Jones Act waiver, moving Bakken crude from its Nederland terminal in Texas to supply its 258,500 b/d Bayway refinery in New Jersey. By Eunice Bridges Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
US House readies E15 floor vote in May
US House readies E15 floor vote in May
New York, 30 April (Argus) — The US House of Representatives is planning to vote next month on a major biofuel policy reform bill after months of delays on an issue important for crop demand and fuel prices. The chamber will vote on a standalone biofuel bill on 13 May, Agriculture Committee chair Glenn Thompson (R-Pennsylvania) said on the House floor Thursday, after an earlier plan to pass the bill and merge it with a larger farm policy package sputtered . The latest proposal would remove summertime limits on gasoline with up to 15pc ethanol (E15), potentially encouraging broader sales of the typically-cheaper blend. It would also standardize the often-unpredictable process by which some oil refiners can win exemptions from a separate program that requires annual biofuel blending. The plan for a House vote is just the latest turn for E15 legislation, which has struggled to pass Congress for years now despite strong backing from farm-state lawmakers of both parties and a recent push from President Donald Trump. A council of Republican lawmakers had hoped to have biofuel legislation ready for a House floor vote in February, but a bloc of refiners has resisted. The latest proposal, while offering small companies automatic partial exemptions from biofuel quotas, would cut off some larger enterprises that today can win relief for smaller units they own. Under current rules, refineries that process 75,000 b/d or less of crude can request hardship exemptions — but under the proposal, only companies with no more than 75,000 b/d of collective gasoline and diesel refining capacity could win relief. There is a limited carveout in the proposal for some facilities that can prove they are at risk of closing and a system to compensate some unnamed small refinery owners for past compliance by giving them special program credits that do not expire. The framework is backed by not just farm advocates but also oil majors, who have been frustrated footing the bill for blending biofuels while some of their smaller competitors skirt the requirements. Some independent refiners remain hotly opposed, including those that would lose their ability to win exemptions and others that want deeper reforms to the biofuel mandate to temper costs. The cost to comply with the program has spiked to all-time highs, according to Argus calculations based on current credit pricing, after the Trump administration last month set blend mandates at record-high levels. It is unclear whether lawmakers will consider new changes to the existing E15 proposal — especially after oil and farm groups alike reacted coolly to the House task force's prior ideas — or if the planned vote will be punted yet again. Some Democrats have endorsed the latest deal, seeing it as a way to help out corn farmers and temper pump prices that are soaring because of war in the Middle East, and criticized Republicans for their infighting. "Forgive my skepticism, but this certainly looks like every time we have a deal for a vote on year-round E15, there is an uprising in the Republican caucus," said House Agriculture Committee ranking member Angie Craig (D-Minnesota). There are also significant obstacles to any biofuel proposal in the US Senate. Agriculture Committee chair John Boozman (R-Arkansas), who has major power over the Farm Bill that biofuel advocates hope an E15 bill could be added to, has opposed efforts to restrict mandate exemptions that have benefited a refinery in his state. While the legislation would allow but not mandate year-round sales of E15, some longtime critics of biofuels in the chamber see the proposal as a stepping stone to steeper blend requirements. "Time to end ethanol tyranny," senator Mike Lee (R-Utah) said. E15 is not sold at the vast majority of retail fuel stations in the US, which ethanol advocates blame on regulatory uncertainty deterring retailers from investing in higher-blend infrastructure. The Trump administration last month issued emergency waivers allowing continued E15 sales this summer, but permanent access requires legislation. By Cole Martin Send comments and request more information at feedback@argusmedia.com Copyright © 2026. Argus Media group . All rights reserved.
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